Jakarta - Pemerintah berusaha menjaga sekaligus menggenjot pertumbuhan ekonomi di tengah kondisi ekonomi dunia yang tidak menentu. Begini tantangannya.
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Sejumlah warga beraktivitas di kawasan Tanjung Priok, Jakarta Utara, Selasa (18/2/2025). Pemerintah berusaha menjaga sekaligus menggenjot pertumbuhan ekonomi di tengah kondisi ekonomi dunia yang tidak menentu. Lantas, bisakah ekonomi Indonesia 2025 tumbuh melampaui level 5%, atau justru masih tetap di kisaran yang sama?

Beberapa ekonom pun memberikan pandangannya. Menurut perkiraan Direktur Eksekutif Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF) Tauhid Ahmad, pertumbuhan ekonomi masih tetap di level 5%. Alasannya, pertama, kondisi eksternal dari berbagai kebijakan Presiden Amerika Serikat Donald Trump juga ikut mempengaruhi.

Kedua, Tauhid menilai program pemerintah belum bisa berjalan efektif mendongkrak pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pasalnya, dari sisi anggaran saja, pemerintah melakukan penyesuaian APBN yang berujung pada pemotongan.

Sementara itu menurut Direktur Eksekutif Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS) Bhima Yudhistira pertumbuhan ekonomi 2025 justru di bawah 5%. Prediksi Bhima adalah 4,7%. Pemicunya beban utang pemerintah, rasio pajak rendah, daya beli turun dan gagal menarik investasi di era perang dagang. Selain itu, program Makan Bergizi Gratis (MBG) dinilai meningkatkan beban belanja pemerintah.

Di sisi lain Direktur Eksekutif Segara Research Institute Piter Abdullah memprediksi pertumbuhan ekonomi pada 2025 nanti masih bisa mencapai angka di atas 5% atau lebih. Namun, tergantung pada bagaimana pemerintah menjalankan berbagai program unggulannya.

Cuma, menurut Piter program pemerintah yang sudah berjalan saat ini belum menunjukkan hasil yang cukup memuaskan.
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